英語(yǔ)翻譯
英語(yǔ)翻譯
摘要 自1998年7月3日下發(fā)了《關(guān)于進(jìn)一步深化城鎮(zhèn)住房制度改革、加快住房建設(shè)的通知》以后,我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)迅速發(fā)展,逐漸成為擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需、拉動(dòng) GDP 增長(zhǎng)的重要產(chǎn)業(yè),在 2012年國(guó)務(wù)院下發(fā)的通知中,已將其確立為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè).但隨著房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的快速發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格也一路飆升、迅速膨脹.面對(duì)這種境況,我國(guó)政府不斷出臺(tái)各種調(diào)控政策,但效果并不十分理想.針對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的發(fā)展問題以及其獨(dú)有的特征入手,結(jié)合房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的影響因素以及中央銀行的貨幣政策,深刻說明貨幣政策對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,選取全國(guó)商品房銷售的均價(jià)作為房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格 ,選取利率、廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量、銀行信貸及存款準(zhǔn)備金率作為貨幣政策指標(biāo),并在 VAR 模型的基礎(chǔ)上實(shí)證分析貨幣政策對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的影響.從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格與選取的貨幣政策變量之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系,且廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量與存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)產(chǎn)生正向的影響,實(shí)際利率與銀行信貸對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格產(chǎn)生負(fù)向影響;從短期看來(lái),滯后一期的銀行信貸對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格有顯著的負(fù)向影響,滯后一期的廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格有顯著的正向影響,而滯后一期的存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)雖有正向影響,但影響仍然相對(duì)較小.從脈沖響應(yīng)的結(jié)果看來(lái),房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格對(duì)于利率的沖擊是負(fù)向的響應(yīng),對(duì)于廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量的沖擊是正向的響應(yīng),存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的沖擊短期來(lái)看是負(fù)向影響,長(zhǎng)期來(lái)說影響是正向的,對(duì)于銀行信貸的沖擊,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格具有微弱的正向的響應(yīng).
摘要 自1998年7月3日下發(fā)了《關(guān)于進(jìn)一步深化城鎮(zhèn)住房制度改革、加快住房建設(shè)的通知》以后,我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)迅速發(fā)展,逐漸成為擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需、拉動(dòng) GDP 增長(zhǎng)的重要產(chǎn)業(yè),在 2012年國(guó)務(wù)院下發(fā)的通知中,已將其確立為國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的支柱產(chǎn)業(yè).但隨著房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)的快速發(fā)展,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格也一路飆升、迅速膨脹.面對(duì)這種境況,我國(guó)政府不斷出臺(tái)各種調(diào)控政策,但效果并不十分理想.針對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的發(fā)展問題以及其獨(dú)有的特征入手,結(jié)合房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的影響因素以及中央銀行的貨幣政策,深刻說明貨幣政策對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,選取全國(guó)商品房銷售的均價(jià)作為房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格 ,選取利率、廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量、銀行信貸及存款準(zhǔn)備金率作為貨幣政策指標(biāo),并在 VAR 模型的基礎(chǔ)上實(shí)證分析貨幣政策對(duì)我國(guó)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的影響.從長(zhǎng)期來(lái)看,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格與選取的貨幣政策變量之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系,且廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量與存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)產(chǎn)生正向的影響,實(shí)際利率與銀行信貸對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格產(chǎn)生負(fù)向影響;從短期看來(lái),滯后一期的銀行信貸對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格有顯著的負(fù)向影響,滯后一期的廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格有顯著的正向影響,而滯后一期的存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)雖有正向影響,但影響仍然相對(duì)較小.從脈沖響應(yīng)的結(jié)果看來(lái),房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格對(duì)于利率的沖擊是負(fù)向的響應(yīng),對(duì)于廣義貨幣供應(yīng)量的沖擊是正向的響應(yīng),存款準(zhǔn)備金率對(duì)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格的沖擊短期來(lái)看是負(fù)向影響,長(zhǎng)期來(lái)說影響是正向的,對(duì)于銀行信貸的沖擊,房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格具有微弱的正向的響應(yīng).
英語(yǔ)人氣:935 ℃時(shí)間:2019-10-11 06:49:53
優(yōu)質(zhì)解答
Since July 3,1998,issued the "on the further deepening of the urban housing system reform,speed up housing construction notice",China's real estate industry rapid development,has gradually become an important industry to increase the domestic demand,pulling GDP growth,in 2012 the State Council issued the notice,have beenestablished as the pillar industry of the national economy.But with the rapid development of the real estate market,real estate prices have soared,the rapid expansion of.Faced with this situation,our government has introduced various policies,but the effect is not very ideal.Aiming at the problem of the development of China's real estate industry and its unique characteristics,combined with theinfluence factors of real estate price and the monetary policy of the central bank,a profound description of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy on real estate price in China,the national commercial housing sale foldas real estate prices,select interest rate,money supply,bank credit and deposit reserve rate as indicators of monetary policy,and in the VAR model based on theempirical analysis of the impact of monetary policy on real estate price in china.In the long run,there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between real estate price and themonetary policy variable,and the reserve volume and thedeposit rate of broad money supply has a positive impact on prices,the real interest rate and bank credit has negative impact on the price of real estate; in the short term,the lagged bank credit to the real estate price has a significant negative impact,lagging behind the broad money supply period have a significant positive impact onreal estate prices,and one period lag deposit reserve ratio on the prices are a positive impact,but the impact is still relatively small.It appears from the impulse response of the results,real estate prices is negative response tointerest rate shocks,the broad money supply shock is a positive response,the deposit reserve rate on real estate prices impact the short term is negative,the long termeffect is positive,the bank credit shocks,the price of real estate a positive response to weak.
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